Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 9.936088 11.342140 12.882722 14.697061 16.776874 19.088282 21.854477
2026-01-04 8.149153 10.017997 12.225970 15.031303 18.507379 22.681872 28.089022
2026-01-11 7.186373 9.310719 11.958503 15.509784 20.162416 26.070169 34.172826
2026-01-18 6.175814 8.350455 11.181624 15.150668 20.593793 27.829510 38.233462
2026-01-25 5.434985 7.625523 10.587168 14.902037 21.060003 29.580732 42.350623
2026-02-01 4.842653 7.022169 10.069963 14.665999 21.464017 31.215608 46.386716
2026-02-08 4.349758 6.499283 9.598780 14.422006 21.793079 32.721609 50.317512
2026-02-15 3.933181 6.041379 9.168538 14.178287 22.069754 34.133892 54.188676
2026-02-22 3.779564 5.961663 9.287829 14.767886 23.656526 37.654305 61.656173
2026-03-01 3.560581 5.756491 9.189549 14.995360 24.673023 40.341891 68.000921
2026-03-08 3.305328 5.468379 8.931088 14.932070 25.194644 42.249287 73.189443
2026-03-15 3.067247 5.186474 8.656038 14.810240 25.594463 43.966542 78.178599
2026-03-22 2.966005 5.128848 8.752363 15.335080 27.163404 47.837029 87.388321
2026-03-29 2.842888 5.022475 8.755566 15.694704 28.467993 51.350615 96.282982
2026-04-05 2.752683 4.965123 8.836437 16.194547 30.060537 55.504274 106.751084
2026-04-12 2.536984 4.663612 8.458234 15.819055 29.991545 56.577003 111.388608
2026-04-19 2.358362 4.415648 8.156821 15.559075 30.112510 58.004771 116.836175
2026-04-26 2.197717 4.188509 7.875708 15.312271 30.232375 59.428872 122.390060
2026-05-03 2.050045 3.974580 7.602740 15.057156 30.309550 60.765188 127.870195
2026-05-10 1.914923 3.774673 7.341334 14.802333 30.361908 62.046846 133.338441
2026-05-17 1.890682 3.792097 7.504715 15.418805 32.256733 67.259549 147.772399
2026-05-24 1.825209 3.721149 7.486320 15.656656 33.371844 70.924971 159.130126
2026-05-31 1.732389 3.587083 7.329976 15.590478 33.826225 73.208348 167.572317